The Odds of Impeachment

Frank Polley, MBA Class of 2018

“DONALD TRUMP IMPEACHED – MIKE PENCE SWORN IN AS PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES”

It’s a headline that many people want to wake up and see sprawled across the WSJ front page any day now. It’s also a headline that, based off the increasingly breathless and apocalyptic media coverage of the Trump administration, seems increasingly imminent to some. Wanting or even expecting something to happen, however, is a different enterprise than predicting exactly how likely it is to occur.

A quick Google search of “Donald Trump impeach” yields such results as “Will Donald Trump Get Impeached?…