Presidential Election of 2016: A Statistical Quagmire
Professor Jeffrey Simonoff and Professor Aaron Tenenbein, NYU Stern IOMS Department
The presidential election of 2016 was one for the history books. It has been labelled as the greatest upset in election history. The Showtime cable program “The Circus: Inside the Greatest Political Show on Earth” documents the election campaign of 2016 from its start at the Iowa Caucuses in January of 2016 to the last three days of the campaign plus Election Day. In the last episode, the three seasoned political commentators (Mark Halperin, John Heilemann, and Mark McKinnon) document the events on election night.…